General Motors’ announcement that it’s slashing as many as 2,500
jobs in Oshawa will likely have a temporal chilling effect on the
local market, and that presents an opportunity for seasoned
“I know of two deals that were conditional where people pulled
out as a result of this, and I believe that for the next three to
six months there’s going to be a lot of investors sitting on
sidelines waiting to see what’s going to happen in marketplace,”
said Michael Dominguez, a sales representative with REMAX Jazz in
Oshawa, and owner of company name is Doors to Wealth Group.
“My advice is to take advantage of this opportunity because many
novice investors will sit and watch what happens.”
News of the job cuts broke Sunday evening, and as of Monday,
Dominguez had already fielded a number of phone calls from worried
investor clients, whom he reassured.
“The sly is not falling, doom is not setting in,” he said.“Stay
calm is the message I’m delivering.”
During its peak, GM employed over 20,000 people in the Oshawa
area and today there aren’t even 3,000.Moreover, Oshawa has changed
drastically since the plant’s heyday.
“There have been changes over the last 10 to 15 years where
plants have shut down
Statistics Canada reported that the national retail sector beat
earlier predictions of flat growth with a 0.2% increase in activity
last September, despite some evidence of sluggishness in the third
Food and beverage retailers stood at the vanguard with a 0.9%
increase, along with car and clothing outlets.
During the same month, retail sales also increased in 6 of 11
subsectors tracked by StatsCan.These accounted for 75% of
September’s retail trade, the agency told Bloomberg.
These numbers dovetailed with a new Morguard Corporation report,
which found that the powerhouse retail segment will have a vigorous
2019, defying risks such as mixed leasing performance.
investment in this sector will continue in 2019
“While retail sales growth continues to moderate, properties
with development or repositioning potential are expected to
generate strong interest among the investment community looking
ahead to 2019,” Morguard explained.
“Sustained economic expansion over the next few years bodes well
for the Canadian commercial real estate sector as a service
provider to the economy.Canadian commercial property sales activity
will remain robust over the near term, against a backdrop of
positive overall sector performance.”
Together, all of the gains along with the good prospects helped
offset the 1.1% decline in gas station sales in September,
Data from Urbanation indicated that Toronto condo rent rates
increased by 7.6% on an annual basis to reach an average of $2,385
in Q3 2018, and by 17% for newly available purpose-built units.
Long considered a haven for the city’s affordability seekers,
the rental market is becoming less friendly to all but the
“We’ve reached a point now where given the amount of people,
industries we’re attracting, we are already becoming terribly
unaffordable for everyone,” University of Toronto professor Richard
Florida told Bloomberg.“We’re at a crisis and we don’t even realize
it:Our transit, traffic problem and housing problem are urgent
“Everyone’s getting priced out,” he added.“My students at the
Rotman School of Management in the University of Toronto, who are
going to be some of the most successful students in Canadian
business, are now saying it’s doubtful they could ever afford a
deserve adequate protection from housing risk
A scarce supply of rental units is not helping matters, with
Toronto’s apartment vacancy rate currently around 0.5%.
“Homelessness is growing, couch-surfing is growing and this will
have a lot of pressure on families and on the city itself,”
according to Alejandra Ruiz Vargas of the low-and-moderate-income
advocacy group Association of Community Organizations for
All too often, amenity spaces are banal.However, a New
York-based company is looking to change that using the Greater
Toronto and Hamilton Area as its Canadian springboard.
hOM is a real estate technology vendor that teams up with
landlords in both the residential and commercial sectors to develop
holistic amenities that emphasize emotional and physical
health.Established four years ago in New York, where it grew to 35
employees and manages 90 properties with 45 landlords, hOM believes
Toronto is amenable to its concepts.
“We work with property managers to provide a tenant experience
that comes in the form of group fitness and wellness classes and
then our community lifestyle events,” said Lilli Markle, director
of business development at hOM.“We consider ourselves managers in
that we have tech platforms that support the communication of our
programming and data collection that positions the value to the
landlord as an actual ROI.We’re able to translate the data from our
tech platform and survey and interface directly with the users,
then present the data to the landlords.It allows landlords to
retain tenants, which over time saves operation costs and leasing
hOM has only officially partnered with Cadillac Fairview in
Toronto, although it’s in discussions with other companies.In
Toronto’s TD Centre, hOM is going to transform an underused section
With ever-growing prices pushing more and more Canadians out of
the single-family home segment, renting has become an increasingly
popular choice in the hottest markets, a development that the
government should begin responding to in earnest.
Vancouver-based advocacy group Generation Squeeze is calling for
regulatory changes that would grant tenants as much long-term
security as home owners.
Among the most important issues is supply, thus the need to
develop more purpose-built, affordable rental housing.
In its analysis of September data from Statistics Canada, real
estate information portal Point2 Homes reported that the home
ownership ratio nationwide fell for the first time in nearly 50
years, shrinking by 1.2% between 2011 and 2016 to reach 67.8%.
demand to boost further apartment construction – CMHC
A boosted rental inventory would give more Canadians the
opportunity to enjoy the unique benefits of renting, according to
Housing Matters founder Chris Spoke.
“When you think about things like labour mobility, being
flexible enough to move to where the opportunity is, you’re less
tied down.That’s something that you see as we extoll the virtues
and benefits of home ownership — you do see less labour mobility
and less flexibility on these fronts than societies that have
higher rental rates,” he told the
Devimco Immobilier, in cooperation with the Fonds immobilier de
solidarité FTQ and Fiera Properties, has announced the development
of the MAESTRIA mixed-use project, which will be the largest of its
kind so far in Montreal’s Quartier des spectacles.
Construction of the 2 towers (51 and 53 storeys tall) will
commence by the end of next year.The entire complex will offer
1,000 condo units and 500 rental spaces.
Marketing of units will start on February 2019, with the spaces
offered ranging from 300 up to 2,500 square feet.MAESTRIA will also
have 512 interior parking spaces, along with a diverse selection of
to grow increasingly unfriendly to first-time buyers
The $700-million development will be accessible to Jeanne-Mance,
De Bleury, and Sainte-Catherine streets.
“We are proud to be building a distinctive, avant-garde property
that will help enhance the urban fabric of this booming arts and
culture district,” Devimco Immobilier president Serge Goulet
“With this landmark project, we intend to maintain the Devimco
tradition of creating a living environment with mixed uses that
will serve project residents as well as visitors to this highly
popular part of Montreal.”
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Investment in Canada’s commercial real estate sector has been
strong all year and—especially in the cases of Toronto and
Vancouver—should continue well through 2019.
According to a report by Morguard, titled The 2019 Canadian
Economic Outlook and Market Fundamental Report, 2018 is shaping up
to be a record year for investment in the sector.
“It’s a real struggle both in Vancouver and Toronto to find
office space,” said Keith Reading, Morguard’s director of research
and the author of the report.“Choices are very limited for
10,000-plus square feet and rents are at peak for this
cycle.There’s no shortage of capital, which is just a function of
supply, and 2018 being a record year for investment will continue
Toronto and Vancouver have buoyant economies and the technology
sector in both cities is firmly rooted.According to CBRE, Toronto
ranks fourth in North America for growth and employment in the tech
While Vancouver is experiencing growth in that sector too, the
exorbitant cost of living coupled with parsimonious salaries could
pose a problem.
“Vancouver has always had a unique situation in that the cost of
living of living here is extremely high, higher than anywhere else
in Canada,” said Rene Palsenbarg, Marcus &Millichap’s regional
manager and managing broker.“When you look at salaries in
Steady price growth along with the possibility of further rate
hikes will affect hopeful home buyers in Montreal much more
acutely, according to market observers.
In a recent analysis, Desjardins senior economist Hélène Bégin
reported that the Bank of Canada might hike its benchmark rates two
more times next year, leading to higher mortgage rates that would
definitely represent a considerable chunk of buyers’ funds.
While healthy in terms of magnetizing better investment, the
trend will put first-time buyers at a severe disadvantage,
according to Quebec Federation of Real Estate Boards manager of
market analysis Paul Cardinal.
“It’s going to limit the amount they can borrow, so it’s going
to limit the increase in prices, they will have to make a
compromise, sometimes it means a smaller dwelling, sometimes it
means going further from downtown but I think they will still be on
the market,” Cardinal told the Montreal Gazette.
housing market continues hot streak to 2020
“All the areas of the Montreal metropolitan area will be hot and
remain hot in 2019, including the island of Montreal, but there is
a little more supply in the suburbs and we will see a lot of
first-time buyers want to get into the market now because
In its announcement earlier this week, the CMHC introduced the
latest project to benefit from its Rental Construction Financing
initiative:Conrad by Cressey Development in Vancouver.
The $40.2-million investment will ensure a prolonged haven of
affordability for the city’s struggling middle-class families.
“Over 60% of the units will have rents at or lower than 30% of
median household income in the area and, under an agreement with
the City of Vancouver, this affordability will be maintained for 60
years,” the Crown corporation stated.
The rental housing project will consist of several buildings
offering a total of 115 units.
Read more:Vancouver’s tenants and their single-family
Earlier this month, Andy Yan of the City Program at Simon Fraser
University said that while price declines in B.C.have become
evident recently, a more tangible intervention from the provincial
leadership’s part is still needed to ensure better
This is especially important since the government has yet to
truly act on earlier promises like a $7-billion, 10-year housing
“They are not actual shovels in the ground yet,” Yan told The
Canadian Press “It will take a combination of supply and demand
policies to really get us out of the housing crisis mess.”
Are you looking to invest
Vancouver’s multifamily housing sector is experiencing a glut of
inventory, but with low yields and high buy-ins, investors have
taken a step back.
A report from Marcus &Millichap showed the average cap rate
compressed 40 basis points over the last year to 2-4%, but
investors chasing yield turned to Coquitlam and Chilliwack where
they enjoyed as much as 5%.
While Vancouver yields could be described as in the doldrums,
vacancy rates are persistently low.
“In terms of multifamily income-producing properties, the
Vancouver market has been one of the strongest in North America
with vacancy rates hovering around, or below, 1%,” said Rene
Palsenbarg, Marcus &Millichap’s regional manager and managing
broker.“Because of that, the average rent per square foot is pretty
Multifamily sales have hit a three-year low, but Palsbarg
attributes that to an inventory surplus.
“It’s more of a by-product of inventory because there’s a glut
of product coming onto the market, so it’s just stabilizing
itself,” he said.
But the overall market in Vancouver has born witness to a
significant downturn that began around July, which marked an
18-year low in sales.By last month, the year-over-year decline
stood at about 35%.
“That equates to a 27% decline on the 10-year average because we
had a very robust 2016
While B.C.’s home prices have shown signs of going down in
recent months, a market observer has argued that firmer action from
the government is still needed to fully address the city’s
Andy Yan, the director of the City Program at Simon Fraser
University, said that the leadership has yet to fulfill crucial
announcements like its much-touted $7-billion housing affordability
strategy, a project expected to take 10 years.
“They are not actual shovels in the ground yet,” Yan told The
Canadian Press “It will take a combination of supply and demand
policies to really get us out of the housing crisis mess.”
Such intervention is especially important now, as the
aforementioned price declines – attributed by many to taxes aimed
at foreign buyers and empty residences – are not apparent in the
middle and lower price ranges.
According to a recent analysis by Knight Frank LLP, Vancouver
saw the largest drop in average sale prices in the luxury segment
(11%) worldwide during Q3 2018.
Read more:New tax
may stifle investment in B.C., fears industry
Data from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver showed that
the benchmark price of a non-luxury home in the region was at
$1.062 million in October, just a tiny bit
The logistics sector’s specific needs will considerably impact
the valuation of commercial and industrial land in Toronto,
according to Bill Argeropoulos of Avison Young.
“In the past, industrial space was predominantly used for
manufacturing activities, and many buildings were serviced by
direct rail-spur connections,” Argeropoulos noted.“Today,
logistics, distribution and warehousing are the main
industrial-space uses;as a result, many of these rail spurs have
been removed, giving way to greater use of container shipments via
Data released by Morguard Corporation in late October indicated
that this versatility, along with strong leasing volume and
economic stability, has granted the Canadian industrial real estate
segment a “very positive near-term outlook.”
Industrial investment across the country reached a record-high
$6.1 billion as of Q2 2018, Morguard reported.
“With quality space at a premium across much of the country and
a solid fundamental outlook for the sector, we expect to continue
seeing strong activity to finish the year,” Morguard’s Keith
industry hungers for Toronto’s commercial spaces
Proximity to transport nodes will have an especially notable
impact on the investment potential of a property, Argeropoulos
“As a result of the need for increased last-mile efficiencies,
demand for industrial real estate more connected to the masses is
outpacing supply, reducing
The government of Ontario is exempting new builds from rent
In doing so, the Doug Ford-led Progressive Conservatives are
partially rescinding one of the more controversial components of
the Fair Housing Plan, introduced in 2017 by the governing Ontario
Liberal Party.Existing tenancies are still subject to rent
“Many people in Ontario face challenges in finding suitable,
affordable rental accommodations, in part due to an extended period
of under-building of rental units,” read an official release from
the government.“Since 1992, rental unit construction has not
matched household formation.Approximately 20 per cent of Ontario
households live in purpose-built rental housing.In 2017, the level
of new rental construction would accommodate only 10 per cent of
new Ontario households.If construction of rental units had kept
pace with underlying demand, construction would have started on an
additional 6,100 units in 2017.”
Additionally, as part of its Housing Supply Action Plan, the PC
government is putting an end to the Development Charges Rebate
Program, which subsidized units earmarked for affordable
While Ontario grapples with a 1.6% vacancy rate, the situation
is even direr in Toronto where only 1% of total units aren’t
occupied and the average rent on a one-bedroom condo is more than
$2,000.Kathleen Wynne’s Liberal government imposed rent control on
all units, capping annual increases at 2.5%.
The affordability crunch in Vancouver has pushed rental
apartments and condo units to the fore as the budget choice for
young families – but if it were up to the renters, they’d rather
settle down on a single-family home elsewhere.
Indeed, almost 30% of the respondents of a new study published
by Altus Group last week admitted that if price was not an issue,
they would choose to live in a single-family home in the suburbs
instead of staying in a rental unit in the downtown area.
The only thing still preventing 32% of Vancouver’s young tenants
from moving is the fact that they are still saving for their down
payments, the survey noted.
Another 11% stated that they don’t feel that they will qualify
for the tighter mortgage stress tests, while a similar proportion
of young renters said that they are waiting for their opportunity
until home prices go down.
A similar analysis by Sotheby’s International Realty Canada
found that 83% of young households nationwide would prefer to raise
their families in detached homes over any other housing type,
everything else (including prices) being equal.
Vancouver has highest average price per square foot
“The popular perception is that people in modern families have
A month after the federal Cannabis Act came into effect, a
significant number of Canadians still harbor negative views about
the provision that allows home owners to cultivate up to 4 plants
indoors, according to a recent analysis by real estate information
In the study, 57% of respondents believed that growing marijuana
in a home would considerably devalue that property.Another 52% said
that they would have definite second thoughts about buying a
residence if the former owner grew the plant privately.
“A lot of the negative sentiment in our findings is stemming
from this uncertainty among homeowners,” Zoocasa managing editor
Penelope Graham stated, as quoted by the Financial Post.
Only 15% of those surveyed said that the factor does not affect
their purchase decisions one way or the other, and that they are
open to growing the plant themselves.
industry investors should take heed of this fact
Smoking cannabis is seen to have a more serious effect, with 64%
of respondents saying that the consumption of pot inside a
residence will severely impact a home’s market value.
Another major factor would be the presence of a dispensary in
the vicinity of a prospective home purchase.Around 48% of the
Zoocasa survey’s participants admitted that